Happy New Year! As 2025 kicks off, it's time for my annual NFL playoff predictions. This post will focus on the Wild Card games. Future posts will predict the outcomes of the Divisional and Championship games, and eventually the Super Bowl.
Let’s go.
First round byes
#1 Kansas City Chiefs
#1 Detroit Lions
AFC
#2 Buffalo Bills vs #7 Denver Broncos
For the last several years, the Buffalo Bills have had an objective: get to the Super Bowl. Since then, a second objective has appeared: get to the Super Bowl and get their sweet revenge against the Kansas City Chiefs along the way (except for that one year the Bills ran into the Bengals buzzsaw). Could this finally be the year the Bills go all the way? Josh Allen and company have consistently shredded almost all opposition, including a double-digit victory that denied the Chiefs a perfect season.
First things first, though. The Wild Card. Opposing the Bills are the upstart Denver Broncos, having finally returned to the playoffs after a decade in the wilderness. Yep, it’s been a decade since Peyton Manning and company stunned the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl 50. Where has the time gone…? Bo Nix and the Broncos snuck into the playoffs at the last possible minute with a 38-0 thumping of the starter-less Chiefs. The Broncos may find themselves quite outmatched on offense, but defense is their best hope. Against Josh Allen, hope may not be enough for the Broncos.
Prediction: Bills win, 31-21.
Result: Bills win, 31-7.
Comments after the game:
One drive gave the Broncos hope. All the other drives gave them despair.
***
#3 Baltimore Ravens vs #6 Pittsburgh Steelers
The Ravens are fortunate they have two Super Bowl rings to their name, because everything recently has been midnight dreary. MVP-level talent, excellent regular season records, all forgotten lore. Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, and the rest of the Ravens have soared to new heights in the regular season, but come playoff time, there is seemingly only one fate – darkness there, and nothing more. Now the playoffs start anew, and the Ravens hear their first opponent rapping at their chamber door. “’Tis some Yinzer,” the Ravens muttered, “tapping at our chamber door – only this and nothing more”.
At the Ravens’ chamber door are the Pittsburgh Steelers, badly limping into the playoffs on a four-game losing streak. From 10-3 to 10-7, the Steelers have fallen rapidly and face a brutal first-round threat. The Steelers have not won a playoff game since the 2016 season. Will the pattern break this season? Quoth the Raven, “Nevermore”.
Prediction: Ravens win, 35-17.
Result: Ravens win, 28-14.
Comments after the game:
TONIGHT
ON DAYS OF OUR STEELERS
THE YINZERS REALIZE THEIR PLAYOFF HOPES ARE NEVERMORE
***
#4 Houston Texans vs #5 Los Angeles Chargers
Two teams – no Super Bowl rings between either of them. The Texans have yet to win a single Divisional game, while the Chargers haven’t reached the Super Bowl since 1994. The Texans started the season strongly with a 5-1 record but began to struggle in late October, ending the season 10-7. The Chargers, on the other hand, had a bit of a shaky start at 2-2 but recovered to finish 11-6.
Stroud vs Herbert – at least one will make it to the second round.
Prediction: Chargers win, 28-21.
Result: Texans win, 32-12.
Comments after the game:
Chargers did the most Chargers thing ever. Complete disaster after a decent 6-0 start to the game.
~
NFC
#2 Philadelphia Eagles vs #7 Green Bay Packers
This may turn into an injury bowl, the way these two teams have gone in the last few weeks.
The Eagles have shredded all but one team after their 2-2 start and for a time looked to be a favorite to win the Super Bowl. Then the injuries struck, including to their lead quarterback, Jalen Hurts, who suffered a concussion in the Eagles’ loss to the Commanders. The Eagles desperately need good health to have any hope of making a deep playoff run.
That said, all is not well with the Packers, either. The Packers dropped three of their last five to end the regular season, and the last game was the worst: quarterback Jordan Love suffered an elbow injury in the loss to the Bears.
Who will be healthy enough to advance to the next round? The path only gets more difficult from here…
Prediction: Eagles win, 30-24.
Result: Eagles win, 22-10.
Comments after the game:
Too many injuries for the Packers. They looked like they were making it a close game but the Eagles were too much.
***
#3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs #6 Washington Commanders
The Buccaneers are the definition of comeback. Before the bye, the Bucs were a dismal 4-6. After, the Bucs won six of their last seven to clinch the NFC South, using overwhelming firepower to crush their opponents.
The Commanders, meanwhile, are an equally potent force. Jayden Daniels has proven himself to be a star, made especially possible by the Miracle in Maryland on October 27.
Against the likes of the Lions and Eagles and Vikings, either team has the potential to make a deep playoff run. Expect a high-scoring shootout.
Prediction: Buccaneers win, 35-31.
Result: TBD
***
#4 Los Angeles Rams vs #5 Minnesota Vikings
Fourteen wins and the Vikings still end up as the fifth seed. At 14-3, the Vikings look like one of the strongest fifth-seed teams ever. That said, there’s something worrying about the Vikings: they have defeated just two playoff-bound teams this season: the Packers and Texans. The Lions defeated the Vikings twice, and the other team?
The Rams. Stafford, Kupp, and Nacua lead a truly potent passing attack, and if Darnold sees ghosts and falls off balance as he did in the season finale against the Lions, the Vikings are in for another season of hurt.
Prediction: Rams win, 27-24.
Result: TBD